The

Fediverse

 doesn't give

Threads

a reason to exist

Toby Daniels
Co founder ON_Discourse

What justification does Threads, Meta’s by-the-numbers Twitter clone, have to exist beyond expanding the Facebook monolith? If you listen to the company, Threads will be a bold experiment in decentralized social networking… at some vague point in the future.

Meta has said that it plans to make Threads part of the fediverse, the web of independent social networks that run on a social networking protocol called ActivityPub.. The idea behind the fediverse is to let users seamlessly connect and migrate between different platforms. The closest example of such an interoperable ecosystem in operation today is email. It doesn’t matter where someone’s email address is hosted; an email sent from one provider to another arrives exactly the same.

Most fediverse projects are built around technology from the ground up as a core feature. Yet Threads has already launched as a centralized social network almost identical to Twitter, following Meta’s long-established playbook of cloning successful features from competitors when it can’t just buy them out entirely. This model has worked for Meta because its sheer scale perpetuates itself. Its platforms’ ubiquity allows Meta to saturate the market with cloned versions of competitors’ features before they have a chance to catch up.

But with Threads, Meta is going one step further and cloning a competitor wholesale. Twitter (now known as X, courtesy of a hasty and baffling rebrand) is in rapid decline due to technical mismanagement, fleeing advertisers, and the plummeting quality of its content. While that might have created an opportunity to snatch away Twitter users, Meta has yet to mount a convincing case that Threads has any purpose other than expanding its own reach.

Meta has yet

to mount a

convincing case that

Threads

has any

purpose

other than

expanding its

own reach.

It has yet to give users any reason to believe that Threads will improve on Twitter, which is irrevocably broken. It hasn’t even bothered to experiment with a new business model like subscriptions, which would make users the customer instead of the product. Instead, it’s more of the same.

Without a compelling reason Threads should exist in the first place, why not turn to buzzwords and obfuscation? Enter its promises to adopt the ActivityPub protocol.

Should we take seriously the idea that Meta, the historical inheritor of AOL’s walled garden model, will snap its fingers and suddenly embrace the ethos of decentralization and user and data migration? It takes a month just to delete a Facebook account. Moreover, it’s hard to believe users care much about decentralization at the scale Threads is operating at.

The largest of Threads’s fediverse competitors, Mastodon, has a niche audience of less than 14 million users—a figure Threads dwarfed in a few days of pushing signups through Instagram.

Most social media users aren’t interested in the arcana of federated services, and those that are probably aren’t big on the idea of it getting a big Facebook injection.

Even if Threads does implement the ActivityPub protocol, it’s less likely that the fediverse will impart new ideas on Meta than Meta will impose its self-serving ones on the fediverse. As Wired reported, ActivityPub isn’t plug-and-play—Meta will retain control over factors like how closely Threads users will be able to interact with other fediverse networks, how easy it will be to migrate their accounts and data to competing services, and what Threads content will be displayed across the fediverse.

With Threads potentially positioned to become the primary portal via which users access the federated social world, it could exert massive influence on how those rivals are forced to operate not to mention the ad networks which monetize them.

But why would it bother? Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp have already hit near-total saturation—a novel problem for a company whose value has historically been based on explosive growth—and there’s no reason for Meta to compete with itself at a time when it’s desperately trying to retain users.

Presumably, the overwhelming majority of Threads users already have accounts on other Meta services, which means Threads can also be understood as a way of luring users who have stopped posting on Facebook back into engaging with another arm of the Meta ecosystem. (This should also make advertisers wary of Threads, lest they be convinced they should spend even more on another Meta platform just to reach the same users.)

Meanwhile, not only is Threads very much not built around ActivityPub from the ground up, Meta has yet to set any timetable on which this integration will happen. Earlier this month, Adam Mosseri alluded to “a number of complications,” which made the time frame for federation indeterminate beyond not at launch.

Right now, the only purpose Threads serves is as a growing number for Meta to point to on a spreadsheet. Federating doesn’t change that.

Do you agree with this?
Do you disagree or have a completely different perspective?
We’d love to know

Content has become mundane and unexceptional as a result of personalized recommendations on Netflix and Spotify. Is there anything we can do about it?

Ian Schafer
Award-winning global brand, marketing, advertising, and sports & entertainment entrepreneur and executive.

We Are Algorithm-ing
Ourselves Into a

MONOCULTURE

In the late 1990s and early 2000s, I worked at Miramax Films. The company was successful because they perfected the art of mining for undiscovered gems, films like Steven Soderbergh’s Sex, Lies, and Videotapes—something weird enough to generate lots of buzz, but accessible enough to appeal to a sizable audience, allowing it to stay in theaters long enough to gross tens of millions of dollars on a shoestring budget. Miramax’s business model was part of a robust independent film industry wherein offbeat approaches to movie-making and going against the grain was profitable. Producing early movies from visionary directors like Soderbergh, Quentin Tarantino, and the Coen Brothers, who would later establish themselves as some of the all-time greats, were low-risk investments with the potential for a handsome reward. And so, all sorts of art was able to flourish.

Today’s media landscape doesn’t allow for this kind of creative innovation. Instead, platforms like Netflix and Spotify rely on personalization algorithms that deliver viewers content based on what they, and people like them, have already consumed. This technology favors big-budget movies and TV shows with superstars, franchises, and anything that has the potential to appeal to the largest audience possible. Whatever has the maximum chance of the maximum number of people pressing play is greenlit. Unconventional projects are less likely to get produced, in spite of their small budgets, because they don’t necessarily comport with what the algorithm suggests viewers want. So we get the same stories told over and over again in the most conventional way possible. Our strange and beautiful world, with its millions of peculiar and idiosyncratic artists and its billions of thoughtful and curious consumers, has become a monoculture. Everything looks the same. We seldom have the opportunity to discover pieces of culture that challenge how we understand the world and ourselves.

Today’s media landscape doesn’t allow for this kind of creative innovation.

The prevalence of streaming makes it feel like we have more choice than ever—there is a surfeit of content produced by Netflix, Disney, Apple, Amazon, Paramount, Warner Bros. Discovery, and NBCUniversal exclusively for their streaming services, and it all runs together, slick, big budget, with familiar characters and tropes. Studios are also producing fewer movies for theatrical release, most of them big-budget affairs, which puts tremendous pressure on every single one of them to turn a huge profit. What gets greenlit has little to do with art or quality—it’s actuarial science. There isn’t the same amount of artistic risk-taking that there used to be, and so everything is mass-market.

There used to be mechanisms that allowed the biggest hits to support projects that fell outside of the mainstream. Back in the days of cable bundles, for example, the consumer paid one subscription fee to access an assortment of channels. Bundling mainstream content with the countercultural allowed channels like IFC and Adult Swim to exist. The streaming business model ripped it all apart, making it much more difficult for niche productions to get funded.

These days, when something new is able to break through, it tends to get exploited, not rewarded. An artist can make something new or different, and if it finds a big enough audience, it takes approximately one millisecond before it’s been imitated and reproduced into oblivion by megacorporations. SHEIN, the Chinese online fast-fashion behemoth, has become the biggest fashion retailer in the world precisely because the company is able to copy the latest trends and get it into their stores quicker than designers can design new things. What companies like SHEIN do is exploitation in every sense of the word: they exploit somebody else’s designs for their own economic gain, and they exploit the environment to produce their imitations as cheaply and quickly as possible.

Our monoculture hasn’t just made culture and pop culture less interesting; it’s become a central plot point within the biggest hits of our era. The story arcs of the Marvel and DC cinematic universes both have to do with the idea of a multiverse, not because it’s a compelling narrative device, but because the studios need a way to tie the Sony Spider-man movies into the Marvel universe that Disney built. It’s a commercial explanation for the vast web of IP that the studios have spun, not an artistic one. Writers, directors, and artists are forced to become entrepreneurs; economic factors shape the soul of their work as much, if not more, than creativity, experimentation, and personal expression.

Our monoculture hasn’t just made culture and pop culture less interesting; it’s become a central plot point within the biggest hits of our era.

Money has the tendency to ruin art, and this isn’t a new phenomenon. The internet’s impact on the way we consume media and buy products has simply amplified the worst tendencies of the media conglomerates that hold total authority over what we consume. They’ve optimized and algorithm-ed art into something featureless. The writers and actors currently striking aren’t worried about artificial intelligence taking their jobs for no reason; the type of media being produced is so uniform and soulless that it’s a legitimate concern.

This all sounds very dire. But not all hope is lost! There are weird independent movies being made, and some of them manage to achieve commercial success. Most recently, Everything Everywhere All At Once, the trippy action-adventure romp starring Michelle Yeoh, netted over $100 million, won seven Oscars, and has become, per IGN, the “most-awarded” film of all-time. It received a total of 158 accolades, and it deserved every single one of them. It is, nevertheless, very much a movie born from our modern era, a play on the notion of the multiverse, an inventive pastiche of the superhero movies that have taken over the movie industry over the last 15 years.

or


The production companies around today that use the same business model as Miramax, small fish compared to Disney and Netflix, are still taking artistic risks and they are paying off. Blumhouse, the company behind some of this decade’s biggest horror hits like Get Out, Paranormal Activity, and M3GAN, regularly produces weird, badass, low-budget fare without big stars and multimillion budgets, and they are thriving. A24 is a company doing similar things in the world of independent films, and has given us Everything Everywhere All At Once, Midsommar, Uncut Gems, Moonlight, and Ex Machina. Both media operations deliver work that tells new stories in visually interesting ways, and their success proves that viewers are still hungry to consume new narratives that aren’t part of the monoculture.

Media exists to entertain us, comfort us, delight us, frighten us, evoke a spectrum of untapped emotions, and give us new experiences and ideas to talk about with our friends and loved ones. The monoculture that the algorithm has forged is eliminating the potential for discovery, surprise, and expansion of our understanding of the world. There isn’t much an individual can do to change the system; we have to challenge ourselves to break free from the endless optimization and remember that there are still new experiences to be found if you look hard enough.

Do you agree with this?
Do you disagree or have a completely different perspective?
We’d love to know

More

Good Artists Copy Great AIs Steal Recap

We Are Algorithm-ing Ourselves Into a Monoculture

Would You Let Netflix Read Your Mind?

Good Artists Copy, Great AIs Steal

How Artists Turn AI Into Gold

A Brush with AI: The Copyright Fight For Digital Creativity

Good Artists Copy,
Great AIs Steal

Our August 9 event set the stage for a lively, engaging debate over a private dinner and drinks in the Hamptons with Premier Members and specially invited guests in the entertainment, media, and tech industries. 

The discussion centered around creativity, ownership, distribution, and how technology, especially AI, is forcing key players to adapt in a rapidly changing industry. The discourse was more animated and led to productive disagreement on the merits and limitations of AI concerning the creativity of the human mind. We cannot thank the people who attended and contributed to the conversation enough. 

Central to our mission is to bring diverse perspectives to these conversations, and the evening didn’t disappoint. We heard perspectives from legendary artists, filmmakers, creatives, entrepreneurs, media and entertainment executives, CEOs, CMOs, and investors. The caliber of their contributions was a key reason why this particular event led to such a fantastic discussion.

We are sharing a few key takeaways here. We’d love to hear from you if you’d like to discuss any of them further and contribute a perspective to this editorial platform. As always, the pull-quotes are not and will never be attributed.

Provocations Used

Good artists copy, great AIs steal

  • Can true creativity be quantified by skill alone or is innovative thinking the real essence? 
  • Can true creativity exist without emotions and personal experiences, or is that what differentiates us from AI? 
  • Are we on the brink of an evolution in art and creativity, much like the industrial revolution, and do real creatives lead or resist such changes? 
  • How does one distinguish between a genuine creative thought and an AI-generated one?
  • What is the difference between the smartest person in the world and they can create something and AI?

Do Creatives Even Know What Creativity Is?

  • Why when a human copies, it’s not stealing, but when AI does the same process it is stealing?
  • In a world where AI mirrors human creativity, can we still claim originality as uniquely ours?
  • Should financial or artistic credit be reserved solely for human-created content, even if AI produces equally compelling work?

Would you let Netflix read your mind?

  • As AI replicates art, are we approaching a paradigm shift where creativity is democratized beyond human boundaries?
  • How might AI-driven entertainment redefine our relationship with anticipatory content?
  • As AI tailors entertainment to our desires, does it matter if we ever again experience the joy of stumbling upon unexpected gems if people are entertained? 
  • If every viewer gets a unique version of a show or series, where does that leave the collective experience of fandom?

Discourse Rating

  • Less Agreeable — The group was mixed on the idea that AI could outperform the human mind regarding creativity. This led to some great back-and-forth debate on the limitations of what AI could do to produce great entertainment. This is the kind of discourse we're hoping to achieve, and it was a step further in that direction. 

Recap

Artificiality will be extremely attractive.

In opposition to the AI-averse, some fully embraced the idea that AI could replace entire entertainment genres. One guest said: “We need to listen to the audience and their preferences. Artificiality will be extremely attractive. We have to remember that audiences are participants and interpreters. They have a preference, and they will drive decisions." Another guest was excited by the idea of allowing a platform like Netflix to program itself based on their and their partner’s personal preferences and totally willing to provide data to optimize that experience.

One side conversation remarked on how art and entertainment created in such an alluring and personalized way could lead to terrible outcomes for society. Cheap technologies provide cheap endorphin/dopamine hits, leading to addiction, disconnection from society, and even further isolation and polarization.

— Provocation – Would you let Netflix read your mind?

Or…

We are consuming and cannibalizing our culture so fast.

Some in the middle of being both curious of what AI could do to enhance art and entertainment, but at the same time worried about how it could lead to a monoculture remarked that “we are consuming and cannibalizing our culture so fast."

In America, the problem is with adults and their culture and where they think we are going. The one glimmer of hope in all this is around the economy and distribution of ideas. It’s about valuing culture and community. There’s going to be floodgates opening. The question is: will we really be the culture we say we are or will it be invented and adapted? Young people’s rebellion against the dominant culture is what creates “real” culture.

The idea that youth culture could provide a counter to the potential blandness and repetitive nature of AI was thought to be an optimistic view of how humans can overcome the inevitable march of AIs dominance in popular culture.

— Provocation – Good Artists Copy, Great AIs Steal

Or…

The internet made live events more valuable, and AI will make that even more so.

Another guest remarked on how live events became more in demand in response to the predictability of mass-market culture and the endless content the internet provides. People crave the spontaneity of live events, such as festivals, concerts, and sporting events. The guest predicted that if AI becomes a huge part of our lives, it will only serve to make live and in-person entertainment even more attractive, and more valued because it cannot be generated by a machine, making it rare and special.

— Provocation – AI will destroy talent OR talent is overrated

Finally…

Why does AI have to satisfy everything? It’s not an either/or, it’s an ‘and’

Pushback on those who were AI-averse was that AI wasn’t the answer to everything and shouldn’t be viewed as a tool that will be useful in all cases, or that it should take the place of certain tasks completely but rather be complementary. The hype cycle for AI has created an overwhelming feeling that this will disrupt our lives completely, but the reality may be that it’s an assistant we can lean on to help us, rather than replace us. One participant remarked: “Aren’t we just overwhelmed by the pace of change?"

— Provocation – Do Creatives Even Know What Creativity Is?

Do you agree with this?
Do you disagree or have a completely different perspective?
We’d love to know

More

Good Artists Copy Great AIs Steal Recap

We Are Algorithm-ing Ourselves Into a Monoculture

Would You Let Netflix Read Your Mind?

Good Artists Copy, Great AIs Steal

How Artists Turn AI Into Gold

A Brush with AI: The Copyright Fight For Digital Creativity

Different

Perspectives,

Together.

ON_Discourse is a membership based community of C-suite leaders, investors, and innovators focused on driving business transformation through the discipline of discourse.

Learn More

Live Q&A with Elon Musk

January 8, 10:30pm ET, 7:30pm PT • @Live

We're excited to announce that ON_Discourse is participating in a live Q&A with Elon Musk and Stagwell Chairman and CEO, Mark Penn during CES 2025.

During the conversation, our co-founders Toby Daniels and Dan Gardner will have an opportunity to ask Elon a question about the state of the internet and how Elon thinks we can fix it.

JOIN US LIVE

Floor Tours

Agents are the quiet revolution reshaping our digital lives. Join us and Stagwell at CES on the Agentic Era Tour and explore how AI agents are not just tools but transformative companions in healthcare, work, and the home.

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Reflections Eternal

Toby provokes himself about 2024

The Year in Discourse

Being Comfortable with Uncertainty

Toby Daniels

12•20•24

AI & eCommerce

What can agents do for your business?

How can you increase revenue 5X without building a new tech stack? We report back from an AI expert on the simple path to growth.

DOWNLOAD

Dan Gardner

12•11•24

Weekly Provocation: Future-Proofing the web is making it worse

We took optimization too far. We turned the magic of the early internet into an endless spreadsheet. An analysis of how the concept of future-proofing web design has slowly degraded the wonder and experience of the internet. Can it be fixed?

How to evaluate the effectiveness of AI investment

Do what you love and let AI do the rest

Weekly Provocation: Media is disrupting AI, too

A dispatch from a NYC conference about AI and the media reveals a complicated relationship between media and AI. The media industry is more than interested; they are frustrated by the limitations of AI. Specifically, the loading time of AI summaries is a big problem.

Welcome to the Community

Interested in learning how to join?

The Internet Sucks

Episode #002

Toby and Dan talk about their trip to Lisbon for Web Summit, legal protections for agents, and why the internet sucks (and how it could be better).

SUBSCRIBE

Beware of Hype

What if that sudden surge of attention and sales comes is not the thing you were looking for all along? One of our founding members bursts the hype bubble in Design Week UK.

READ IT HERE

2nd Annual EOY Provocations Zoom

Predictions are boring. What if we prepared for 2025 with provocations instead? For the second year in a row, we asked our members to provoke the new year with a series of questions, statements, and feelings.

Twelve Provocations About 2025

Matt Chmiel

11•29•24

Weekly Provocation: AI Compliance will be codified by 2026. Are you ready for it?

AI and the Law

Are agents protected under Section 230? What is the deal with the Colorado AI Act?

Matt Chmiel

11•15•24

Agents won’t work in eCommerce, yet.

This expert thinks the hottest thing in eCommerce is better site search.

Matt Chmiel

11•08•24

Weekly Provocation: The emotional web is a gold mine.

An emotional web can help us understand ourselves better; understand how we can change our habits, and do it without judgment and with empathy. What if we were able to do this without pharmacology? This is the opportunity that lies ahead.

The Home is an Interface

 Introducing the ON_Discourse Podcast

Our team preps for an upcoming summit about the future of the connected home. Can tech bring families together or will smart-toasters rule the home?

SUBSCRIBE

Weekly Provocation: Nothing can stop AI-generated media.

We are going from a mass-media content supply chain to a personalized one. Tomorrow, 90% of what we consume will be personalized, generated, and unique to each individual. You may not want it. You may not like it. You may think it will start a civil war. The one thing you won’t be able to do is stop it.

Inevitable AI?

A room full of executives argues against an unstoppable AI invasion.

Matt Chmiel

10•10•24

Does AI Get Brands?

Can an LLM truly understand and then replicate the values that made good brands great?

James Cooper

Your Dumb House

When will all of our connected devices start making sense? A new era of connectivity is coming.

Overheard at ON_Discourse

Is Behavior the New Prompt?

October 10, 9 – 11am • Gemma NYC

We’re bringing together business leaders and AI experts to debate the question in the context of entertainment and marketing.

LEARN MORE

SaaS is a Trick

You spend a lot of money to stay in what this founder called “data jail.” Can AI break you out of expensive SaaS contracts?

Matt Chmiel

10•03•24

Weekly Provocation: AI Is the Ultimate Manager

People are weird. They have feelings and those things are a mess. Despite this factory flaw, we have collectively decided that the best way to turn emotional beings into productive workers is to manage them… with other people. What does the future org-chart look like if AI replaces conventional management tasks?

Move Fast and Break Synthetic Sh*t

How AI is integrating into the workplace. The good, the bad, and everything in between.

Matt Chmiel

09•27•24

Welcome to the Community

Interested in learning how to join?

Holy F*ing Sh*t

A member tells us what it felt like to build a functional CRM prototype in 3 hours. And Donkeycorns.

Matt Chmiel

09•19•24

The Simulation Era

Design thinking is going to be replaced with AI-generated simulation technology. What does that look like? We wrote a multi-part series about it.

PART 1

An Ancient Strategy

Peter Pawlick

08•30•24

PART 2

The AI Spring

PART 3

Virtual
Prototyping

PART 4

Focus Areas
and Tools

PART 5

How to Get
Started

Who Really Won the Olympics?

We covered this in a recent newsletter. No brands seemingly won the games, and gold medals didn’t have the same luster as memes.

WHAT IF?

MEMBER RESPONSE

Culture Won in Paris

Hip Hop and American culture dominated the games. They were the big winners. Read it here.

Carlos Mare

09•10•24

Blindspots

September 10, 9 – 11am • The Standard NYC

The pace of change is accelerating, so where are the blindspots that make it dangerous to navigate?

LEARN MORE

Welcome to the Community

Weekly Group Chats

Everything you can expect from an ON_Discourse event, only smaller. Every Thursday 12-1EST

SEE MORE EVENTS

The Internet 2025 Download

The future Internet is being written, and it’s going to be weird, wild and most likely, even more batshit crazy than its predecessor. If you want to understand how to successfully ride the next wave, join us for a breakdown of everything we have learned, and the incredible perspectives shared by over one hundred leading experts in tech and business.

GET THE DOWNLOAD

Weekly Provocation: Virality Defeated Marketing in Paris.

Snoop defeated the brands. His mystifying behavior generated its own gravitational force. NBC deserves credit for setting him free on their platform, where he simultaneously commentated on badminton, dressage, danced at gymnastics, and randomly appeared throughout the event.

We have thousands of subscribers. Join Them

What Are We Getting Wrong About AI?

Our members are bullish on the value of Gen AI.

Welcome to the Community

Interested in learning how to join?

Issue #004

“Influencers are the modern athletes.”

“Fans are the new Free Agents.”

“Insurgent Sports Innovate.”

“Thrive To Survive”

Fans are the new free agents

ON_Sport dives into the last stronghold of the rapidly changing world of professional sports — the fan experience. Unlike other media verticals, the fan experience has been largely insulated against disruption; live sports have been one of the last bastions of linear broadcast media, a vast and mature market where regional relationships drive market activity and predictable consumer behaviors.

This stability is facing a triple threat of unstoppable disruption: the unbundling of ESPN, the rise of online gambling/fantasy, and the memification of highlights. These forces are resetting fan expectations for how they consume the game, what matters most to their experience, and where business opportunities lie in an uncertain future. 

The intergenerational transfer of fanatical devotion of a local team is going to fundamentally change in a new media and digital landscape, but the love of the game will remain. How will that love be witnessed, monetized, and mediated in an uncertain future?

Explore our initial questions and perspective

Discover More ON_Sport

The
secondary
market

issue #003

HAS OWNERSHIP

FALLEN OUT

OF FASHION?

Exploring the relationship
between fashion and
technology and the evolving

landscape that is the
secondary market.

The fashion industry has a strange relationship with technology.

Why does the Fashion Industry treat tech like a seasonal trend?

The secondary market is creeping up on the luxury market.

How might AI-driven entertainment redefine our relationship with anticipatory content?

AI Forecasting in Fashion has a Big Sustainability Problem.

AI forecasting is a noisy guess masquerading as an objective analysis — and manufacturers know it.

Discover More ON_Fashion

On_Entertainment

ISSUE #002

GOOD
ARTISTS
COPY,
GREAT
AIs
STEAL

Issue #002 examined how creativity, ownership, and distribution are
being impacted by the growth and mass adoption of AI and its impact
on the business of entertainment.

DO CREATIVES
KNOW WHAT CREATIVITY IS?

Our event set the stage for a lively, engaging debate over a private dinner and drinks in the Hamptons with ON_Members and specially invited guests in the entertainment, media, and tech industries.

We Are Algorithim-ing Ourselves Into a Monoculture

Content has become mundane and unexceptional as a result of personalized recommendations.

The Copyright Fight for Digital Creativity

The US copyright regime has become an obstacle to this new era of innovation–and not because of what the law actually says.

Would you let Netflix read your mind?

How might AI-driven entertainment redefine our relationship with anticipatory content?

How Artists Turn AI Into Gold

AI has the potential to be an industry-disrupting tool for streamlining creative processes and getting projects out the door faster than ever previously possible.

Discover More ON_Entertainment

Toby Daniels
Co-Founder,
ON_Discourse

Would YOU Let

Netflix

Read

Your Mind?

Search and discovery will be replaced by AI, which will anticipate your needs and provide hyper-personalized entertainment experiences.

Humans have a thirst for convenience and personalization. We want quick, tailored content across many platforms, such as streaming music, TV, and film. We hate choice and being made to think. In the future, our entertainment preferences will not just be catered to but anticipated by AI, rendering search, discovery, and even the prompting of AI chatbots obsolete.

TL;DR:

  • The future of entertainment may be defined by Anticipation On-Demand Entertainment, where AI will anticipate and deliver personalized content based on consumer behavior and preferences.
  • AI's ability to process massive amounts of data in real time allows it to learn from and predict user behavior, taking personalization to new levels.
  • In this future, AI could automatically select music or shows aligning with the user's current mood, conversations, or global trends, without any manual intervention.
  • This highly tailored entertainment experience could transform the way we engage with platforms, making entertainment consumption more efficient and immersive.
  • Anticipatory AI might also influence content creation, with shows being created on-the-spot based on user's unmet needs and desires.
  • With continuous improvements in machine learning algorithms and UI design, the accuracy of such anticipation is expected to increase.
  • This could potentially lead to the unbundling of content, raising questions about the need for platforms like Netflix or Hulu.
and
The Future
Of Entertainment
or
We Are Algorithm-ing
Into a Monoculture

We call this Anticipation On-Demand Entertainment. Catchy right?

Humans have a thirst for convenience and personalization. We want quick, tailored content across many platforms, such as streaming music, TV, and film. We hate choice and being made to think. In the future, our entertainment preferences will not just be catered to but anticipated by AI, rendering search, discovery, and even the prompting of AI chatbots obsolete. 

AI’s ascent in entertainment personalization is not surprising, considering its inherent ability to process vast data volumes and generate real-time insights. AI uses sophisticated algorithms to analyze consumer behavior patterns, learn from them, and then make data-driven predictions about what a user might like next. We’ve seen the early stages in algorithms that suggest songs, films, or series based on the user’s past preferences. However, the concept of Anticipation On-Demand Entertainment takes it to a whole new level, and this will be just the beginning of something even more profoundly important.

Anticipation On-Demand imagines a future where AI knows what we want to consume before we even realize it ourselves. Imagine coming home and there’s a new show in your queue that doesn’t just align with your taste and preferences but has been generated according to your current mental state or even your subconscious.

The same can be applied to music. Based on your historical listening patterns, the AI might anticipate that you need a lively playlist to kickstart your Monday morning or soothing instrumental music to help you focus on work. A potential scenario is your AI seamlessly changing the music in the background as you transition from a morning jog to a work-from-home setup, catering to your fluctuating moods and activities without requiring manual intervention.

This level of automated personalization will change our engagement with entertainment platforms, making the experience more immersive and effortless. Users no longer have to spend time searching or discovering new content; instead, the AI does it for them. The user experience becomes more streamlined, and entertainment consumption becomes more efficient. The advantage is twofold; while consumers receive a hyper-personalized experience, entertainment providers can increase customer satisfaction and engagement.

But why will we even need these providers? Could this result in another unbundling of content as the need for Netflix or Hulu becomes obsolete? 

Moreover, with the anticipated improvements in machine learning algorithms and user interface design, the accuracy and timeliness of such anticipation will only increase. The AI will continuously learn from our changing preferences, making real-time adjustments to deliver content that aligns with our current mood, recent conversations, or global trends.

We need to think beyond curation, though, Anticipatory AI will also work its way into the creation process. Your shows will be created for you, on demand and in real time. The story plays out according to your unmet needs and desires. The next scene you watch hasn’t even been created yet.

What does this mean for format and length? What is an episode or a series even in this new reality? Why would a show need to end?  

The possibilities offered by Anticipation On-Demand Entertainment are exciting. AI, with its ability to analyze, learn, and predict, can bring unprecedented personalization to our entertainment experiences. It can transform 'on-demand' from simply 'what we want' to 'what we want before we know we want it.' It is the dawn of a new era where AI doesn’t just respond to our demands but anticipates them, making our digital experiences smoother, more efficient, and truly personalized.

TL;DR: takeaways:

  • AI's evolution may lead to Anticipation On-Demand Entertainment, where your preferences are predicted and met even before you realize them.
  • This advanced level of personalization could redefine our interaction with entertainment platforms, making the user experience more immersive and effortless.
  • Anticipatory AI could also influence content creation, leading to shows tailored to the viewer's current mood, desires, or subconscious thoughts.
  • As machine learning algorithms and UI design continue to improve, anticipatory AI's precision and relevance will increase.
  • This evolution might lead to the unbundling of content, questioning the need for existing entertainment platforms like Netflix or Hulu.

OR;

  • While Anticipation On-Demand Entertainment seems revolutionary, it raises serious concerns about privacy, as AI would need to access extensive personal data to make accurate predictions.
  • Over reliance on AI might eliminate the joy of discovery, reducing the opportunity for users to explore diverse content beyond their regular preferences.
  • The idea of AI creating shows in real-time raises questions about the quality and creativity of such content compared to human-produced content.
  • Not all users may appreciate such a high level of personalization, as it could make their experiences feel manipulated or artificial.
  • The argument assumes continuous improvements in AI algorithms and UI designs. However, technological progress might face obstacles, slowing the pace of such evolution.
  • The possibility of unbundling content also brings up issues related to copyright laws and how artists would be compensated for their work.

Do you agree with this?
Do you disagree or have a completely different perspective?
We’d love to know

More

Good Artists Copy Great AIs Steal Recap

We Are Algorithm-ing Ourselves Into a Monoculture

Would You Let Netflix Read Your Mind?

Good Artists Copy, Great AIs Steal

How Artists Turn AI Into Gold

A Brush with AI: The Copyright Fight For Digital Creativity

Event Preview:

Toby Daniels
Founder, ON_Discourse

On Wednesday, August 9, ON_Discourse hosts ‘Good Artists Copy, Great AIs Steal,’ a private dinner for Premier Members and specially invited guests in the entertainment, media, and tech industries.

We chose entertainment as our subject because we are at a critical juncture. 

AI’s potential impact in entertainment is just the tip of the spear. It has swept through almost every industry, and this year we have seen these new powerful tools begin to redefine how we think about creativity, ownership and attribution and distribution. Even the economics of the business are being completely reexamined. 

At ON_Discourse, we believe new perspectives can only be found through discourse and disagreement and our mission is to build a new kind of media company, built on this idea and focussed on providing an exceptional level of value to our members through perspective, not just content, and through relationships, not just connections.

In the coming days we will publish a series of articles that build upon the Good Artists Copy, Great AIs Steal theme and explore the topics from a number of different perspectives. We will also announce future member events in the coming weeks.

Do You

Even Know

What

It Means

To be↓↓↓

Dan Gardner
Co-Founder & Exec Chair, Code and Theory
Co-Founder, ON_Discourse

Creativity isn’t the ability of the skill, it’s the process of thinking before doing it.

I get it, AI makes a creative person feel uncomfortable. Facing this intersection of creativity and artificial intelligence (AI) might cause a ripple of discomfort, particularly if you’re someone who has dedicated their life to honing creative abilities. It’s understandably disconcerting to contemplate the idea of an AI system challenging your unique capacity for creativity – a quality you’ve always attributed to your personal skillset.

CREATIVE

AI has made me think a lot about creativity recently. I co-founded and help operate a creative agency that employs over a thousand people, all of whom identify as “creative". Throughout my tenure as a leader in this creative agency, I am often asked, “When did you first see yourself as a creative?" The question always strikes me as odd, as I believe that I have been innately creative all my life. From a young age, I indulged in painting and drawing, eventually developing a fascination with photography – all pursuits traditionally deemed “creative". When I reflect on those early days of education, and even what transpires with my children’s schools today, I recognize this fundamental premise.

Children who display skills in areas like drawing, painting, writing, or performing are typically labeled as "creative". Schools, given sufficient resources, will nurture these abilities. Conversely, children who lack such skills are deemed "not creative" and steered towards the acquisition of more practical “non-creative” skills. 

This dichotomy perpetuates itself in the professional world, with creative agencies or even in entertainment industries distinctly separating the “creatives” from the rest. So, it’s understandable why creatives may fear new technology: their entire self-concept, built on their unique skills, feels threatened.  

In the context of AI, many have started to express apprehension, suggesting that this technology could undermine creativity. I hear many arguments against its use. Even the writers union strike has some restrictive usage of the technology to protect themselves.

It is my belief that creativity is a skill, but not a skill of the practitioner, instead a skill of thinking. AI becomes a tool to enable thinking in new and profound ways. Just like digital photography didn’t kill the discipline of photography because you can take photos on your iphone and now dodge and burn in Photoshop or use Instagram filters instead of a dark room, these new AI tools are new enablers to new kinds of creativity. But a creativity only a few people will be lucky enough to participate in. It will fundamentally change the way we think of early education and the role of creativity in business and entertainment.

This is the new reality that AI will force us to come to terms with; Not everyone is as creative as they thought. What people deemed as creative, the skill of doing something, is becoming a commodity.  That creativity will go from the 1% of people who think they are creative to a new reality of maybe just .01% of people who actually are creative. 

Just like traditional artists. Only a very select few get to make successful careers from making Art. There is no entitlement to the career. And just like many young adults who graduate from art schools every year but sadly cannot make a career out of their skillset, the same will be true with legacy degrees. 

Andy Warhol was famous for having an entire factory executing his concepts, but he was the brain behind each unique idea. Sadly, we can’t all be Andy Warhol.  And the new factory is AI, not people.

Demanding that the creative industries limit the use of AI is misguided. Not only is it virtually impossible to contain this technological advancement, but it’s also shortsighted. It’s akin to bookkeepers resisting Quickbooks due to fear of obsolescence, or coal miners protesting clean energy innovations. Imagine if we had halted the industrial revolution due to fears about job losses.

However, there is a counterargument. Creatives don’t protest against the actual innovation of AI; their objection lies in the idea that AI is a thief. It’s not about the automation of the tooling but the data AI steals from.

But as the saying goes...

Good

Artists Copy

Great

AIs Steal

The advent of AI has shaken up traditional notions of creativity and its value. Many fear that AI is essentially “stealing” creativity, a unique attribute that should be fairly compensated. The belief is that if you use a creative output to generate something new the original idea needs to be fairly compensated. After all, if someone else profits from your original idea, shouldn’t you get a share? This seems reasonable and hard to dispute. 

But what makes creativity unique and therefore valuable? Picasso offered a profound answer when questioned about the worth of his art.

When told, “But You Did That in Thirty Seconds.”

Picasso replied, “No, It Has Taken Me Forty Years To Do That.”

This implies that the value lies in the journey, not just the end product. 

However, Picasso also famously said,

Good Artists Copy, Great Artists Steal

He was implying that the best creativity actually is just old creative ideas revived in a new form. Does this mean no creation is entirely original but rather a derivative of something else? If so, what does “derivative” mean in the context of creativity and human cognition?

Does the person who creates a masterpiece in what seems like thirty seconds, with each stroke backed by their life’s experience, get full ownership of that new thing? In the age of AI, that’s just a nice little anecdote. Now we’ve got machines, bereft of any life experience, churning out 'creative' output at the speed of light.

For centuries, humans have patted themselves on the back for their ability to take historical ideas, toss them around, and present them as something 'unique' and 'original'. Conveniently, we ignore where these ideas came from, lauding the result as claimable and unique. 

Consider Quentin Tarantino, who is hailed as a creative genius. He openly acknowledges the influences that shape his work. His creative process involves drawing from the past to mold his future ideas. Should he have paid the Film Noir greats some royalties because they influenced his style? If he entered a generative AI prompt instead, “in the style of Film Noir,” does all of a sudden that require a different payment for his creative influence?

Perhaps genuine creativity involves reshaping and recontextualizing historical ideas into something unrecognizable from the source. The human mind naturally (and sometimes consciously) does this. But as the origins are typically hidden, the end product is labeled as unique, inventive, original, and therefore, claimable. So, the creator retains a perpetual claim to any benefits derived from it.

But what happens when AI mimics this process of reshuffling and reconstructing ideas to produce something new? If the process is algorithmic rather than instinctual, does it strip the output of its creativity because its origins are more apparent? Is it not considered theft when a human does it, but when an AI does it, it is?

Wait… but…

What happens when AI mimics this process of reshuffling and reconstructing ideas to produce something new? If the process is algorithmic rather than instinctual, does it strip the output of its creativity because its origins are more apparent? Is it not considered theft when a human does it, but when an AI does it, it is?

Good Artists Copy, Great Artists AND AIs Steal.

Could it be that Picasso was wrong? Or perhaps our understanding of creativity and ownership needs reconsideration?

In the end, the great AI invasion has forced us to reassess our holier-than-thou understanding of creativity and ownership. It’s high time we stopped hiding behind romantic notions and accepted that both human imagination and AI innovation are here to co-exist, whether we like it or not.

And this old romantic notion of creativity and ownership assumes that entertainment in the future will be like today. A model where someone thinks of an idea and the idea is executed and then distributed to the masses. Maybe tomorrow, it’s the viewer that dictates what will be created, not the creator. Is this the end of the creator economy?

What happens when AI mimics this process of reshuffling and reconstructing ideas to produce something new? If the process is algorithmic rather than instinctual, does it strip the output of its creativity because its origins are more apparent?

Is it not considered theft when a human does it, but when an AI does it, it is?

This is potentially the advent of a new form of entertainment…


The Future of

Entertainment:

Do we even know what we're asking for?

It's

Anticipatory

and

Ephemeral

What happens if only one prompt ever has to be said: “Give me more value”

Remember when being the first to come up with an idea was the big deal? Everyone hailing the “genius” who thought of something new? We used to think that creativity was something valuable and special, the thing that kept us entertained. 

For generations, we’ve held creativity on this high pedestal. We’ve marveled at the genius of the innovators, the artists, the disruptors. We’ve believed that creativity – the ability to generate something truly original and new – is a uniquely human trait. But let’s be real: do we even need that shiny, fresh-out-of-the-box creativity anymore? Or are we just craving the illusion of something “new and improved” to keep us entertained?

In the world of Web 2.0, personalization means leveraging location, device, and intent to tailor an experience. You could see it in Netflix’s recommendations, Amazon’s suggested products, or targeted ads. Of course, it’s all backed by those good old algorithmic engines that some may argue lack creativity. They’re just doing their job, providing value based on perceived needs.

But now, we’re venturing into a whole new territory. A world where we can prompt a system and voila – out comes something fresh, something creative. But what if these prompts weren’t manually entered? What if they were behaviorally driven, shifting and adapting to our ever-changing needs and desires? What if generative AI could whip up something personalized on the fly? It would be more than personalized, it’d be anticipatory.

Can our behaviors make us creative? Or are we just wandering in an ever-evolving maze of our own creations, no longer needing to come up with anything new? Or are we basically there now?

Imagine taking a scriptwriting class. You’d quickly become acquainted with the familiar pattern found in nearly every movie: protagonists, antagonists, story arcs, resolutions, and so forth. This formula can be identified in almost any story.

Consider Disney’s method of reusing animation, resulting in various movies with shared scenes, such as 'Winnie the Pooh' and 'Jungle Book.' Reflect on the choice to reshoot Samuel L. Jackson’s line in 'Snakes on a Plane' because of its anticipated impact on audiences. Many of the top hits on Fandango currently are sequels, remakes, or stories spun from established franchises. Or look at 2 recent TV hits, 'Yellowstone' and 'Succession,' weave strikingly similar tales, only tailored to different demographics through congruent themes.

So, what are we heading towards? A future where entertainment is tailored so precisely that it’s practically reading our minds and serving up ephemeral delights?

What does that mean for our requests in the future? Would we be reduced to uttering one prompt: “Give me more value"? 

With AI and LLMs, we’re entering an era of 'machine creativity'. These systems can process and analyze massive amounts of data, draw from a vast pool of existing content, and generate responses tailored to individual user needs. They don’t just mimic human instinct; they go a step further by making data-driven decisions that can predict and cater to our needs with astounding accuracy.

Is there room for disruptive human creativity in this new landscape? Perhaps. But as LLMs continue to improve and evolve, these instances will become increasingly rare, and more importantly, they may not be necessary. After all, if a machine can fulfill our needs and desires based on our own behavior and preferences, do we need the occasional disruptive idea?

As we stand on the cusp of this new era, we may need to reassess our long-held notions about creativity. Is creativity really about originality, or is it about delivering value in the most effective and satisfying way possible? Is our pursuit of creativity overrated, particularly when AI systems are capable of delivering more value with greater efficiency?

Perhaps, in the end, we’ll find that 'Give me more value' is the most creative prompt we could ever ask for. It’s a directive that has the potential to render traditional creativity redundant, replacing it with a more accurate, efficient, and user-centric approach to satisfaction and fulfillment. And who knows? We may find that this approach fulfills us in ways we never thought possible.

As we navigate this transition, I’m not sure if any of this will be true, but one thing remains certain: the paradigms of entertainment and creativity are shifting. How content is crafted, delivered, and consumed might be starkly different in the future than it is today.

 

Do you agree with this?
Do you disagree or have a completely different perspective?
We’d love to know

More

Good Artists Copy Great AIs Steal Recap

We Are Algorithm-ing Ourselves Into a Monoculture

Would You Let Netflix Read Your Mind?

Good Artists Copy, Great AIs Steal

How Artists Turn AI Into Gold

A Brush with AI: The Copyright Fight For Digital Creativity

HOW ARTISTS
TURN AI 
INTO GOLD 

Instead of fighting AI,
turn it into an
artist’s marketplace.

Stephen Parker
Creative Director at Waymark, a Detroit-based video creation company

Generative AI has sent a shockwave through Hollywood as creatives and studios debate its impact on the entertainment industry.

For studio owners and AI evangelists, generative AI has the potential to be an industry-disrupting tool for streamlining creative processes and getting projects out the door faster than ever previously possible. Many creatives and artists, however, argue AI technologies pose an existential threat to their livelihoods. 

AI will have far-reaching impacts on creative markets as AI systems like DALL-E 2 and Midjourney refine their products and advance their models, laying the groundwork for new AI systems and applications we’ve yet to fully realize.

While none of us has a clear picture of what this will look like for the entertainment industry, it’s evident a new model for protecting IP is needed to ensure creators can continue benefiting from their human output alongside this emerging innovation.

AI licensing could offer a solution.

Generative AI in entertainment is an industry-defining debate with far-reaching implications that could impact everything from contract negotiations to the way we interpret original art in the future.

Already, there are several lawsuits underway alleging that generative AI systems were unlawfully trained using various authors’ work without their permission. Depending on how generative AI systems are regulated in the U.S. or abroad, we may have a better idea of whether those lawsuits hold water.

In the meantime, creatives have more power than they may realize in the current Wild West of emerging generative AI technologies — perhaps even through a platform that supports continued or alternate world-building for their existing stories and projects.

and
The Copyright Fight
For Digital Creativity
or
Against
AI Art

An untapped wealth of IP

Plenty of creatives already allow their personalities, concepts, and writing to be licensed through brands and ad partnerships (Ryan Reynolds is one such ubiquitous celebrity who excels at image marketing).

These deals are executed under very specific contractual terms beneficial to both parties, and most seasoned actors have a considerable degree of say about what they do on camera. So why should it work any differently with AI?

The debate over generative AI’s use in entertainment production arrives at a poignant moment for the industry; the Writers Guild of America strike began in May and a strike by the actors’ union SAG-AFTRA followed shortly thereafter in July.

And make no mistake: Studios are already AI future-focused. SAG-AFTRA maintains that studios wish to use actor likenesses at will and without compensating those individuals (the Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers denies this characterization of its AI proposal). 

I’m not pitching a dystopian “Joan Is Awful” scenario wherein artists are exploited and their digital avatars are able to be used by content-greedy streamers or studios at will, as SAG-AFTRA has alleged was proposed by AMPTP.

But should a screenwriter, actor, or director be looking for new opportunities to capitalize on their oeuvre, they’d be wise to consider an AI framework for licensing. 

I’m proposing a reasonably straightforward concept: a hybrid creative-licensing platform that allows artists to license their likeness, aesthetic, or concepts for use as input for outside projects, creating an ethical — and importantly, lucrative — funnel by which all parties benefit and no copyright infringement or plagiarism of existing works occurs.

Part of the reason artists are so miffed with systems like ChatGPT and Midjourney is they are alleged to have used work and ideas without the express permission of the original authors.

But imagine that an author did allow their ideas to be used as part of a new and entirely unique AI output, with terms protecting the degree of use and how the output can be shared, for how long, and with explicit distribution royalties in place to compensate original authors whose work was used as a prompt. 

One way that this could potentially manifest is through a platform that allows brands, studios, actors, and writers to license their creative output to niche communities like fandoms.

With years between iterative games, books, TV shows, and film series, such a platform would find tremendous success with communities of artists and creatives interested in worldbuilding for purposes outside of commercial marketing.

Harry Potter fans, for instance, would almost certainly pay to expand narratives for their favorite characters, creating entire backstories, sub-narratives, and alternative timelines.

And should such a platform bill itself as a creative community rather than one meant to generate monetizable output, the licensing would be far more appealing to artists looking to capitalize on specific fan followings.

Make no mistake, such a model could be incredibly profitable for all involved parties, including media companies, established industry heavyweights, and emerging creators with significant social followings — specifically where it relates to world-building within existing franchising.

An AI licensing platform could easily filter for specific motifs or genres, and sophisticated terms could provide expansive protections to any creative willing to license their work or likeness through the service.

I envision a platform capable of filtering by specific tags, allowing paying subscribers access to rich data sets from their favorite artists and creatives.  

There are several benefits to third-party licensing that could even the playing field for the entertainment industry at large. For one, actors, screenwriters, and directors could set their own terms and decide how, and for what, their work is legally permitted to be used as input.

Studios with over a century of IP collecting dust, like Disney, could potentially license that material to allow a new generation of creatives to make it fresh again. Or maybe even your normal, everyday franchise enthusiasts could potentially use the service to generate a final season of a canceled show they adored. The possibilities for use are virtually limitless.

Why pay for what's already free?

While conversations about how we navigate our AI future are of paramount importance, it’s also true that generative AI systems are still very much in their infancy.

You have to be fairly technically adept today to create something of high quality with the current suite of widely available generative AI tools. Even short-form projects developed with AI technologies require a lot of work, a lot of training, and a lot of frameworks both technical and conceptual. 

AI technology for developing high-caliber moviemaking is simply not at a plug-and-play stage. And the easier and more accessible the tool, the greater the potential for the product to generate money.

Everybody has a niche, and when they’re able to dial into that niche, that’s when the slot machine starts to ping. 

If you’re wondering why people wouldn’t just use a DALL-2-type model to do this on their own, that’s easy. The quality of the AI output would be lightyears better and more specific for artists and creators who are interested in working within a specific artistic motif.

If you’re licensing from the creators themselves, you’re going to get a richer body of prompts because you won’t have to sift through a randomized heap of garbage pulled from the internet — which can (and does!) lead to very bizarre interpretations of written prompts by generative AI models.  

Generative AI is still very much an emerging and primitive technology where video is involved, and they’re unlikely to soon entirely replace human beings in the ideation, development, and output of fully realized creative works (e.g. short films or scripts that don’t require a significant degree of human input).

We’ve also yet to see how copyright protections will work once policymakers begin regulating AI. A number of policy proposals may require generative AI models to disclose how they’ve trained their systems, again raising questions about copyright infringement and how creative works can or cannot be used in the generation of AI output.

At the same time, a creative-licensing platform like the one I’ve proposed may offer a solution from which everyone benefits. And most importantly, it gives back to artists and creators the creative control over their intellectual property while they’re laughing all the way to the bank.

Discover More
Discourse

Do you agree with this?
Do you disagree or have a completely different perspective?
We’d love to know

More

Good Artists Copy Great AIs Steal Recap

We Are Algorithm-ing Ourselves Into a Monoculture

Would You Let Netflix Read Your Mind?

Good Artists Copy, Great AIs Steal

How Artists Turn AI Into Gold

A Brush with AI: The Copyright Fight For Digital Creativity

A Brush

With AI

The Copyright

Fight

For Digital

Creativity

The U.S. Copyright Office
needs to adapt to the AI Future.

Generative AI presents a tremendous opportunity to unlock human creativity in ways that never could have been imagined when the concept of copyright emerged.

But the U.S. copyright regime has become an obstacle to this new era of innovation--and not because of what the law actually says.

The U.S. Copyright Office is contorting decades of precedent to impose arbitrary rules on when and how creators seeking copyright protections can use AI tools in their work. If they don’t get with the times, the consequences won’t just be limited to artists like me.

In 2022, my painting Théâtre D’opéra Spatial won a Colorado State Fair award for digital art. I decided to register it with the USCO, even though I knew the office might shoot down the request because I produced it using Midjourney AI.

Jason M. Allen

President and CEO of Art Incarnate, a company specializing in luxury A.I. fine art prints. His creation “Théâtre d’Opéra Spatial” won first place in a Fine Art competition, sparking a global controversy about A.I. in art. 

That’s because the painting had already attracted massive controversy. Even though it was always labeled as an AI-assisted artwork, and the judges confirmed it was a fair decision, critics accused me of lying, art theft, and worse.

What I didn’t expect was for the USCO to write off the entire submission with a dismissive, one-page response: “We have decided that we cannot register this copyright claim because the deposit does not contain any human authorship.” It was hard to believe the nation’s copyright authority would issue a decision on such a consequential issue—who owns the rights to AI art?—with so little substance.

It wasn’t until Tamara Pester Schklar, my intellectual property lawyer, and I pushed back in a request for reconsideration that we received any elaboration. The USCO did admit one mistake. The extensive editing and modification I did to the original AI-generated work was in fact eligible for copyright registration. The USCO also indirectly confirmed that its decision was not based on a finding that AI-generated art infringes on others’ copyrights.

The AI cannot read my mind and steal my ideas for itself.

But it doubled down on denying a copyright to the entire work with an argument that, if accepted, would be disastrous: not only am I not the author of Théâtre D’opéra Spatial, it is “clear that it was Midjourney—not Mr. Allen—that produced this image.” 

That’s just not true. The painting wasn’t spit out by Midjourney at random, but reflected my artistic process of iterative testing, conceptualization, and refining outputs until I find an image that translates my vision into reality. But more importantly, each of those steps was the result of careful and deliberate instructions entered by a human. The AI cannot read my mind and steal my ideas for itself.

Courts have consistently updated their interpretations of copyright to reflect new types of technological innovation (and to challenge biases against them). For example, in 1884, the Supreme Court ruled against a company which had distributed unauthorized lithographs of photographer Napoleon Sarony’s portrait of Oscar Wilde, shooting down the firm’s claim that photography is a mere mechanical process not involving an author.


In other words, the court found Sarony’s camera was a tool through which the photographer translated his mental conception into an artistic work. AI generators like Midjourney might rely on complicated algorithms instead of light focused through a lens onto a film coated in light-sensitive chemicals, but it’s a difference of degree, not kind.

There is no incomprehensible magic going on; Midjourney’s servers don’t have a consciousness of their own. They run diffusion models calibrated using a training set of millions of other images. Diffusion models use deep learning to deconstruct data from the training set, add truly random Gaussian noise, and then attempt to reconstruct the original data. The end result is a model tuned to generate entirely original images.

As we told the USCO in our second request for reconsideration, tools like Midjourney are interactive systems that by definition require humans to code, train, and run them. They’re cameras with extra steps. To put it another way, the USCO is effectively arguing the camera is now so complicated it’s also the photographer!

U.S. copyright law is clear that non-humans cannot author or own the rights to art in any meaningful legal sense. Monkeys are indisputably more self-aware than a large language model. Yet when one picks up a Kodak in the jungle and clicks a button, it doesn’t get the rights to any accidental selfie.

Even the Copyright Office’s decision that my modifications to the raw image in Photoshop are copyrightable as a derivative work isn’t free of haphazard reasoning that should alarm any artist. While the USCO conceded human authorship of the edits, it found the “appreciable amount of AI-generated material” in Théâtre D’opéra Spatial required limiting the copyright to “exclude the AI-generated components of the work.”

But it hasn’t clarified what constitutes an “appreciable” degree of AI content, even though it seems to draw distinctions between an author’s creative input and the tools they use.

No one can make those decisions without interrogating a creator’s methods and processes. Copyright Act precedent clearly limits a court or reviewing agency’s review to perception of the final product, not how or why it was designed.

Théâtre d'Opéra Spatial - Jason M. Allen / Midjourney - The Colorado State Fair 2022

Do we really want the office applying subjective determinations as to what parts of the artistic process are worthy of protection? Consider the rise of AI-assisted features like Photoshop’s generative fill, which uses machine learning to create and modify elements of an image, and the mess that would result if the Copyright Office continued to apply the same capricious standards.

This isn’t theoretical. On similar grounds of non-human authorship, the USCO denied that I could copyright versions of the painting upscaled via Gigapixel AI, a tool that simply enhances pre-existing details in an image without introducing any original elements. Similar tools like Photoshop filters are already in widespread use. Any remaining contrast between non-AI and AI-powered features of imaging editing programs will inevitably disappear as their developers introduce more powerful features.

This fight is not about me, and it’s not just about art. Already, my company Art Incarnate has been forced to come up with creative solutions for releasing fine art prints, like taking photographs instead so they can be protected as derivative works. Other workarounds like open source licensing can only do so much.

and
or


Businesses and entrepreneurs are rapidly adopting generative AI in other fields ranging from entertainment and media to publishing. At some point, though, the novelty will wear off and they will be forced to confront practical commercial challenges. Without assurances that they will be able to safeguard their intellectual property, or that they won’t be forced to jump through IP loopholes to prevent competitors from copying their work, they may be hesitant to continue investing in AI technologies.

Nor is this fight, as critics argue, a vehicle to cheapen the output of traditional artists. We are fighting to extend ownership protections to all creatives who utilize AI in their work, helping keep their livelihoods intact.

Do you agree with this?
Do you disagree or have a completely different perspective?
We’d love to know

More

Good Artists Copy Great AIs Steal Recap

We Are Algorithm-ing Ourselves Into a Monoculture

Would You Let Netflix Read Your Mind?

Good Artists Copy, Great AIs Steal

How Artists Turn AI Into Gold

A Brush with AI: The Copyright Fight For Digital Creativity

Will AI Enhance or Destroy the Business of Media?

Matthew Chmiel
Head of Discourse

The largely agreeable July 28 virtual event sparked more introspection than discourse.

At our inaugural virtual event, we invited three guest experts to discuss the intersection of AI and digital media.

Nearly 30 of our ON_Discourse members joined us that day and were provoked by Dan Gardner and Michael Treff. I spoke to Dan before the event to get a sense of his goals for the discussion. “Everyone in our field expects AI to be a massive disruption, I was hoping to get past the hype and dig into the details.”

From my perspective, the discourse was light, almost too pleasant and agreeable to qualify as a deep discourse, but the good news is that the conversation isn’t over yet. Check out some of our key takeaways and let me know if anything you see here makes you want to push this further.

As always, the pull-quotes are not and will never be attributed.

Provocations Used

  • AI will destroy all digital distribution mode
  • Fake news is all news
  • LLMO (Large Language Model Optimization) is the new SEO

Discourse Rating

  • Agreeable — there were no obvious and direct disagreements in the group. Let’s turn up the heat next time! As always, send me a note and we’ll find a way to get your follow-up arguments into the mix.

Recap

This is going to destroy the
internet as we know it


Today’s internet is scraped and organized and ranked by Google. Those results are still, for the short term, listed as links that send users to owned and operated web pages. The introduction of chat-based interfaces, where LLMs process the information from the same web pages and then directly deliver that information, without links, is going to flip the paradigm and ruin the internet.  It will homogenize the sources of information in the eyes of audiences.

The key takeaway here is the irrelevance of owned and operated pages – pretty soon, it seems, the need for websites will fade away – as long as the information is available and presented in the chat query.

— Provocation – AI will destroy all digital distribution models

—— what did you think?

Or.....

It’s putting agency back
in the hands of the user

The evolution of prompting LLMs is a 3-way interaction between an individual and the LLM *and* with the community that is training the LLM. Publishers will have to think in new ways — they can’t just ship some content and stop thinking about it. The essence of this interaction model is that the content gets shaped by the prompts. This is empowering audiences in new ways. 

Forget that nonsense about irrelevant web pages, this new interface and behavior (prompting and querying) are going to reveal new needs among users that will deepen their relationship with the true sources of this information. The fact is, the distribution model for digital media has been fundamentally broken ever since Web 2. This might actually fix it!

— Provocation – AI will destroy all digital distribution models

—— what did you think?

But….

AI needs an attribution protocol

Several members and guests focused on a specific software requirement that will address questions of reliability and trust. The brands, voices, and processes that delivered the information must persist, in some way, in the final delivery of generated-information. In other words, if the LLM is scraping an article that comes from the New York Times, that brand and even that author must be clearly articulated in the answer. There is reason to believe this type of protocol can be administered because publishers have the leverage – LLMs need good source material to be relevant and this is putting the power back in the hands of the publishers. 

— Provocation – Fake news is all news

—— what did you think?

On the other hand…

IT SUCKS

The current state of audience trust in publisher platforms. Will LLMs really make it better? Anecdotal audience research shows that Apple News readers assume that Apple News is a news publication and that the articles they are consuming are coming from Apple News (not the brands and reporters that distribute from that platform). When you remove all links and bury attribution in generative text, you remove all chances of establishing a meaningful relationship between the audience and the brand that created it.

— Provocation – AI will destroy all digital distribution models

—— what did you think?

… but wait…

Young people are savvy about finding trustworthy sources in the new internet

They have a radar for authenticity which is the antidote to the synthetic content they’ve been receiving all their lives. They find authenticity from some brands, but mainly from influencers online. This isn’t always good though, because not all influencers are trust worthy. On top of all that, we don’t know if the AI itself is going to contain any bias that will influence its answers. 

— Provocation – Fake news is all news

—— what did you think?

… and…

AI is just software - just like everything else on the internet

SEO emerged as a discipline after some engineers reverse-engineered the ranking algorithm.  The same kind of reverse-engineering is going to happen with LLMs – even though they are exponentially more complex, it will eventually happen. And when it does happen, there will be more attributions embedded in LLM answers. This will drive up the potential costs that publishers can extract from LLMs because one of the key elements of an LLM – unlike the internet at large – “shitposting will not get you anywhere on ChatGPT.”

— Provocation – LLMO is the new SEO

—— what did you think?

… finally

The Web is undefeated

Many of our members and guests have been working in digital media for decades and they have read (or written) many pieces about the impending demise of the internet – and still it persists.

— Provocation – LLMO is the new SEO

—— what did you think?